15 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1500
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bresky
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1511
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zmuda🌟Zmuda covers set handicap as underdog 63% (63)
Fair odds · Bresky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.