15 Sept · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1487
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vesely
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1527
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Darin🌟Vesely rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (49)
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.