15 Sept · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1552
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Svoboda
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1548
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 69% (129)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.