15 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1400
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kocian
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1450
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kocian
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.