15 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1400
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Zientek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (86)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.