15 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1517
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svoboda
JS
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1552
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (177)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.