15 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1746
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Opanasiuk
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1606
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (283)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)