16 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Klement
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1517
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zuzanek🌟Zuzanek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (174)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H63-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.