16 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1517
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Taichman
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1500
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zurek🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (138)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.