16 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1569
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Danko
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Danko stays under total as favourite 64% (36)
Fair odds · Danko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.