16 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1344
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Forman
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1278
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Forman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H4-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.