16 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1278
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1296
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Cernik stays under total as favourite 63% (78)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H20-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.