16 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1363
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vrba
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1278
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 24% · 4.22· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.