16 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1517
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1525
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.