16 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1296
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vrba
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1363
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.