16 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1240
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Petr
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1407
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
🌟Petr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (31)
Fair odds · Petr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+167
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)