16 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1498
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1525
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.