16 Sept · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1517
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vondrak
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1607
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zuzanek🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (105)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H66-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-47)