16 Sept · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1284
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1296
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Cernik stays under total as favourite 63% (78)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.