16 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1429
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kocian
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1452
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zientek🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (148)
Fair odds · Kocian
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.