16 Sept · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1475
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.921964
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1445
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kulhanek🌟1964 rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (181)
Fair odds · 1964
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H29-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.