15 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Peter
ELO 1430
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jasek
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1461
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Jasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (62)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.