15 Sep · 21:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1457
2-3Final setsStach won
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1399
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 53%. The actual result was Jiri Stach 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Matyas Kolek favoured — closing 1.85
Total 75.5
89 points played
Set handicap
Matyas Kolek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Matyas Kolek −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Kolek is favoured to win, below means Jiri Stach.
▲ Matyas Kolekpre 50% → final 98%
Jiri Stach ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsKolek recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games