15 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1396
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syroha
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1397
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Syroha🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (112)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.