17 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kaspar
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1385
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kaspar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (17)
Fair odds · Kaspar
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.