17 Sept · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1667
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Polasek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1631
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 68% (479)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H86-85
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.