17 Sept · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1530
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Urbaniec
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.