18 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1316
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1408
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+92
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)