18 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1458
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nohejl
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zikmunda
ELO 1437
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Nohejl stays under total as favourite 65% (49)
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.