18 Sept · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Franek
ELO 1562
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vejvoda
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1595
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Vejvoda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (221)
Fair odds · Vejvoda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.