18 Sept · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1641
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Revay
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1598
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pilch
Fair odds · Revay
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H16-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.