18 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1527
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vizek
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1599
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stolfa🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 69% (136)
Fair odds · Vizek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.