18 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1331
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novotny
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1316
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Novotny stays under total as favourite 62% (64)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H9-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.