18 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vizek
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1599
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Vizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (64)
Fair odds · Vizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.