17 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1459
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kosar
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.