21 Sept · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇨🇿Daniel Kouble
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krejci
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1554
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.