21 Sept · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1584
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Huk
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1650
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Huk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (291)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H29-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.