22 Sept · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1623
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svacha
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H31-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.