21 Sept · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1659
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolisnyk
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1584
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 62% (98)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H18-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.