22 Sept · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1623
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kycelt
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1650
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Svacha covers set handicap as underdog 65% (147)
Fair odds · Kycelt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.