22 Sep · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1783
1-3Final setsMares won
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1748
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kos at 52%. The actual result was Erik Mares 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Tomas Kos favoured — closing 1.62
Total 75.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Tomas Kos −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Tomas Kos −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Kos is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.
▲ Tomas Kospre 49% → final 95%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKos recovered from 41%62 points · 3 games