25 Sept · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1571
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamczyk
PS
🇨🇿Pavel Smetka
ELO 1479
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+92
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)