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24 Sep · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJosef Medek
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1841
3-2Final setsMedek won
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1718
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Medek at 56%. The actual result was Josef Medek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Josef Medek favoured — closing 1.53
Favourite won
Total 75.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Josef Medek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Josef Medek −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Josef Medek is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.

▲ Josef Medekpre 53% → final 100%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 5 games