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25 Sep · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1453
3-0Final setsStefek won
MNMartin Novak
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1503
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novak at 54%. The actual result was Martin Stefek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Novak favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 75.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martin Novak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martin Novak −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Martin Novak.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 49% → final 10%
Martin Novak ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsNovak recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games