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25 Sep · 21:06 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RKRadim Kvasnicka
🇨🇿Radim Kvasnicka
ELO 1520
3-2Final setsKvasnicka won
JPJaroslav Peter
🇨🇿Jaroslav Peter
ELO 1402
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kvasnicka at 56%. The actual result was Radim Kvasnicka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Radim Kvasnicka favoured — closing 1.56
Favourite won
Total 75.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Radim Kvasnicka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Radim Kvasnicka −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radim Kvasnicka is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Peter.

▲ Radim Kvasnickapre 60% → final 78%
Jaroslav Peter ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsKvasnicka recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games