26 Sept · 05:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1421
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bruzek
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1399
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.