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26 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MVMiroslav Vaclavik
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1419
3-1Final setsVaclavik won
ZKZdenek Kasinski
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1332
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vaclavik at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Vaclavik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Vaclavik favoured — closing 1.61
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Vaclavik is favoured to win, below means Zdenek Kasinski.

▲ Miroslav Vaclavikpre 51% → final 11%
Zdenek Kasinski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKasinski recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games