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27 Sep · 03:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1437
2-3Final setsDolezal won
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dolezal at 51%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vaclav Dolezal favoured — closing 1.51
Favourite won
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
6.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Vaclav Dolezal.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 45% → final 0%
Vaclav Dolezal ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsDolezal recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games