28 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1643
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pilch
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1635
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 67% (509)
Fair odds · Pilch
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H50-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.