28 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1535
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nohejl
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1437
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)